FOSTOURGRP (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.59
| 6T8 Stock | EUR 0.90 0.01 1.12% |
FOSTOURGRP |
FOSTOURGRP Target Price Odds to finish over 0.59
The tendency of FOSTOURGRP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.59 in 90 days |
| 0.90 | 90 days | 0.59 | about 23.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FOSTOURGRP to stay above € 0.59 in 90 days from now is about 23.17 (This FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 probability density function shows the probability of FOSTOURGRP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 price to stay between € 0.59 and its current price of €0.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.91 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FOSTOURGRP has a beta of 0.51. This suggests as returns on the market go up, FOSTOURGRP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 has an alpha of 1.9177, implying that it can generate a 1.92 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FOSTOURGRP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FOSTOURGRP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FOSTOURGRP EO 0001. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FOSTOURGRP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FOSTOURGRP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FOSTOURGRP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FOSTOURGRP EO 0001, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FOSTOURGRP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.92 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
FOSTOURGRP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FOSTOURGRP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 has accumulated 23.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 6.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FOSTOURGRP until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FOSTOURGRP's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FOSTOURGRP to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FOSTOURGRP's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 12.9 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.67 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.57 B. | |
| FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 has accumulated about 5.47 B in cash with (1.99 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.43, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 80.0% of FOSTOURGRP shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
FOSTOURGRP Technical Analysis
FOSTOURGRP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FOSTOURGRP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FOSTOURGRP EO 0001. In general, you should focus on analyzing FOSTOURGRP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FOSTOURGRP Predictive Forecast Models
FOSTOURGRP's time-series forecasting models is one of many FOSTOURGRP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FOSTOURGRP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FOSTOURGRP EO 0001
Checking the ongoing alerts about FOSTOURGRP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 has accumulated 23.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 6.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FOSTOURGRP until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FOSTOURGRP's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FOSTOURGRP to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FOSTOURGRP's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 12.9 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.67 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.57 B. | |
| FOSTOURGRP EO 0001 has accumulated about 5.47 B in cash with (1.99 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.43, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 80.0% of FOSTOURGRP shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in FOSTOURGRP Stock
FOSTOURGRP financial ratios help investors to determine whether FOSTOURGRP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FOSTOURGRP with respect to the benefits of owning FOSTOURGRP security.