SEAZEN GROUP (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.12
| 6FLA Stock | EUR 0.22 0.00 0.00% |
SEAZEN |
SEAZEN GROUP Target Price Odds to finish below 0.12
The tendency of SEAZEN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.12 or more in 90 days |
| 0.22 | 90 days | 0.12 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SEAZEN GROUP to drop to € 0.12 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SEAZEN GROUP LTD probability density function shows the probability of SEAZEN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SEAZEN GROUP LTD price to stay between € 0.12 and its current price of €0.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SEAZEN GROUP has a beta of 0.37. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SEAZEN GROUP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SEAZEN GROUP LTD will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SEAZEN GROUP LTD has an alpha of 0.4687, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SEAZEN GROUP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SEAZEN GROUP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SEAZEN GROUP LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SEAZEN GROUP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SEAZEN GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SEAZEN GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SEAZEN GROUP LTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SEAZEN GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
SEAZEN GROUP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SEAZEN GROUP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SEAZEN GROUP LTD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SEAZEN GROUP LTD had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| SEAZEN GROUP LTD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SEAZEN GROUP LTD has accumulated about 55.29 B in cash with (1.67 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.9, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
SEAZEN GROUP Technical Analysis
SEAZEN GROUP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SEAZEN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SEAZEN GROUP LTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing SEAZEN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SEAZEN GROUP Predictive Forecast Models
SEAZEN GROUP's time-series forecasting models is one of many SEAZEN GROUP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SEAZEN GROUP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SEAZEN GROUP LTD
Checking the ongoing alerts about SEAZEN GROUP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SEAZEN GROUP LTD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SEAZEN GROUP LTD had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| SEAZEN GROUP LTD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SEAZEN GROUP LTD has accumulated about 55.29 B in cash with (1.67 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.9, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in SEAZEN Stock
SEAZEN GROUP financial ratios help investors to determine whether SEAZEN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SEAZEN with respect to the benefits of owning SEAZEN GROUP security.