CIFI Holdings (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0465
| 6CI Stock | EUR 0.03 0 5.00% |
CIFI |
CIFI Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0465
The tendency of CIFI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 0.05 after 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.05 | about 82.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CIFI Holdings to stay under € 0.05 after 90 days from now is about 82.43 (This CIFI Holdings Co probability density function shows the probability of CIFI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CIFI Holdings price to stay between its current price of € 0.03 and € 0.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.24 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.81 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CIFI Holdings will likely underperform. Moreover CIFI Holdings Co has an alpha of 1.3329, implying that it can generate a 1.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CIFI Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CIFI Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CIFI Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CIFI Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CIFI Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CIFI Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CIFI Holdings Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CIFI Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
CIFI Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CIFI Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CIFI Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CIFI Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| CIFI Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| CIFI Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
CIFI Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CIFI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CIFI Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CIFI Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.8 B |
CIFI Holdings Technical Analysis
CIFI Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CIFI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CIFI Holdings Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing CIFI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CIFI Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
CIFI Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many CIFI Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CIFI Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CIFI Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about CIFI Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CIFI Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CIFI Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| CIFI Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| CIFI Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in CIFI Stock
CIFI Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether CIFI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CIFI with respect to the benefits of owning CIFI Holdings security.