ROPEOK Technology (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.74

688619 Stock   9.71  0.29  3.08%   
ROPEOK Technology's future price is the expected price of ROPEOK Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ROPEOK Technology Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ROPEOK Technology Backtesting, ROPEOK Technology Valuation, ROPEOK Technology Correlation, ROPEOK Technology Hype Analysis, ROPEOK Technology Volatility, ROPEOK Technology History as well as ROPEOK Technology Performance.
  
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ROPEOK Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 14.74

The tendency of ROPEOK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  14.74  or more in 90 days
 9.71 90 days 14.74 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ROPEOK Technology to move over  14.74  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ROPEOK Technology Group probability density function shows the probability of ROPEOK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ROPEOK Technology price to stay between its current price of  9.71  and  14.74  at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ROPEOK Technology has a beta of 0.0884. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ROPEOK Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ROPEOK Technology Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ROPEOK Technology Group has an alpha of 0.8423, implying that it can generate a 0.84 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ROPEOK Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ROPEOK Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ROPEOK Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.9410.3414.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.247.6412.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.169.5613.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.929.6710.42
Details

ROPEOK Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ROPEOK Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ROPEOK Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ROPEOK Technology Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ROPEOK Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.84
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

ROPEOK Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ROPEOK Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ROPEOK Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ROPEOK Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 447.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.91 M.
ROPEOK Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

ROPEOK Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ROPEOK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ROPEOK Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ROPEOK Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding187.6 M

ROPEOK Technology Technical Analysis

ROPEOK Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ROPEOK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ROPEOK Technology Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing ROPEOK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ROPEOK Technology Predictive Forecast Models

ROPEOK Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many ROPEOK Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ROPEOK Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ROPEOK Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about ROPEOK Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ROPEOK Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ROPEOK Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 447.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.91 M.
ROPEOK Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in ROPEOK Stock

ROPEOK Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether ROPEOK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ROPEOK with respect to the benefits of owning ROPEOK Technology security.