Qi An (China) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.39

688561 Stock   28.40  0.28  0.98%   
Qi An's future price is the expected price of Qi An instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Qi An Xin performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Qi An Backtesting, Qi An Valuation, Qi An Correlation, Qi An Hype Analysis, Qi An Volatility, Qi An History as well as Qi An Performance.
  
Please specify Qi An's target price for which you would like Qi An odds to be computed.

Qi An Target Price Odds to finish over 25.39

The tendency of 688561 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  25.39  in 90 days
 28.40 90 days 25.39 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qi An to stay above  25.39  in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Qi An Xin probability density function shows the probability of 688561 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qi An Xin price to stay between  25.39  and its current price of 28.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Qi An Xin has a beta of -0.0372. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Qi An are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Qi An Xin is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Qi An Xin has an alpha of 0.5261, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Qi An Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Qi An

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qi An Xin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.4128.5332.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.8025.9230.04
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.110.010.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Qi An. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Qi An's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Qi An's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Qi An Xin.

Qi An Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qi An is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qi An's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qi An Xin, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qi An within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
2.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Qi An Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qi An for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qi An Xin can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Qi An Xin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Qi An Xin has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Qi An generates negative cash flow from operations
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: December 2024s Top Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Below Intrinsic Value - Yahoo Finance

Qi An Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 688561 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Qi An's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qi An's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding685.2 M

Qi An Technical Analysis

Qi An's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 688561 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qi An Xin. In general, you should focus on analyzing 688561 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Qi An Predictive Forecast Models

Qi An's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qi An's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qi An's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Qi An Xin

Checking the ongoing alerts about Qi An for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qi An Xin help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Qi An Xin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Qi An Xin has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Qi An generates negative cash flow from operations
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: December 2024s Top Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Below Intrinsic Value - Yahoo Finance

Other Information on Investing in 688561 Stock

Qi An financial ratios help investors to determine whether 688561 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 688561 with respect to the benefits of owning Qi An security.