Nanya New (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 34.57
| 688519 Stock | 20.79 0.34 1.61% |
Nanya |
Nanya New Target Price Odds to finish over 34.57
The tendency of Nanya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 34.57 or more in 90 days |
| 20.79 | 90 days | 34.57 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nanya New to move over 34.57 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nanya New Material probability density function shows the probability of Nanya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nanya New Material price to stay between its current price of 20.79 and 34.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nanya New Material has a beta of -0.0754. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nanya New are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nanya New Material is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nanya New Material has an alpha of 0.1935, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nanya New Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nanya New
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nanya New Material. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nanya New Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nanya New is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nanya New's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nanya New Material, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nanya New within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Nanya New Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nanya New for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nanya New Material can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nanya New Material had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.98 B. Net Loss for the year was (128.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 301.12 M. | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Nanya New Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nanya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nanya New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nanya New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 234.8 M |
Nanya New Technical Analysis
Nanya New's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nanya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nanya New Material. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nanya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nanya New Predictive Forecast Models
Nanya New's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nanya New's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nanya New's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nanya New Material
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nanya New for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nanya New Material help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nanya New Material had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.98 B. Net Loss for the year was (128.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 301.12 M. | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Nanya Stock
Nanya New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nanya Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nanya with respect to the benefits of owning Nanya New security.