Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.36
| 688391 Stock | 32.85 0.49 1.51% |
Hi-Trend |
Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co Target Price Odds to finish below 13.36
The tendency of Hi-Trend Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 13.36 or more in 90 days |
| 32.85 | 90 days | 13.36 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co to drop to 13.36 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hi Trend TechCo probability density function shows the probability of Hi-Trend Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co price to stay between 13.36 and its current price of 32.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hi Trend TechCo has a beta of -0.15. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hi Trend TechCo is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hi Trend TechCo has an alpha of 0.571, implying that it can generate a 0.57 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hi Trend TechCo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hi-Trend Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.1 M |
Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co Technical Analysis
Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hi-Trend Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hi Trend TechCo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hi-Trend Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co Predictive Forecast Models
Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Hi-Trend Stock
Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hi-Trend Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hi-Trend with respect to the benefits of owning Hi-Trend Tech(Shanghai)Co security.