Xinjiang Daqo (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.62
| 688303 Stock | 24.23 0.59 2.38% |
Xinjiang |
Xinjiang Daqo Target Price Odds to finish below 24.62
The tendency of Xinjiang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 24.62 after 90 days |
| 24.23 | 90 days | 24.62 | about 30.64 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xinjiang Daqo to stay under 24.62 after 90 days from now is about 30.64 (This Xinjiang Daqo New probability density function shows the probability of Xinjiang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xinjiang Daqo New price to stay between its current price of 24.23 and 24.62 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Xinjiang Daqo New has a beta of -1.46. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Xinjiang Daqo New are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Xinjiang Daqo is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Xinjiang Daqo New has an alpha of 0.7004, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Xinjiang Daqo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xinjiang Daqo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xinjiang Daqo New. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xinjiang Daqo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xinjiang Daqo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xinjiang Daqo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xinjiang Daqo New, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xinjiang Daqo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.70 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Xinjiang Daqo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xinjiang Daqo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xinjiang Daqo New can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Xinjiang Daqo New is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Xinjiang Daqo New appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Xinjiang Daqo New EnergyLtds Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business - Simply Wall St |
Xinjiang Daqo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xinjiang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xinjiang Daqo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xinjiang Daqo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B |
Xinjiang Daqo Technical Analysis
Xinjiang Daqo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xinjiang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xinjiang Daqo New. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xinjiang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xinjiang Daqo Predictive Forecast Models
Xinjiang Daqo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xinjiang Daqo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xinjiang Daqo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xinjiang Daqo New
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xinjiang Daqo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xinjiang Daqo New help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Xinjiang Daqo New is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Xinjiang Daqo New appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Xinjiang Daqo New EnergyLtds Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Xinjiang Stock
Xinjiang Daqo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xinjiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xinjiang with respect to the benefits of owning Xinjiang Daqo security.