ACM Research (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 101.93
| 688082 Stock | 104.38 0.87 0.84% |
ACM |
ACM Research Target Price Odds to finish below 101.93
The tendency of ACM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 101.93 or more in 90 days |
| 104.38 | 90 days | 101.93 | about 27.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ACM Research to drop to 101.93 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.86 (This ACM Research Shanghai probability density function shows the probability of ACM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ACM Research Shanghai price to stay between 101.93 and its current price of 104.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ACM Research has a beta of 0.3. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ACM Research average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ACM Research Shanghai will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ACM Research Shanghai has an alpha of 0.4529, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ACM Research Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ACM Research
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ACM Research Shanghai. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ACM Research Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ACM Research is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ACM Research's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ACM Research Shanghai, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ACM Research within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
ACM Research Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ACM Research for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ACM Research Shanghai can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ACM Research had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| ACM Research is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| ACM Research generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: ACM Research cut to Hold at Needham on units being added to U.S. Entity List - MSN |
ACM Research Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ACM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ACM Research's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ACM Research's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 435.7 M |
ACM Research Technical Analysis
ACM Research's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ACM Research Shanghai. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ACM Research Predictive Forecast Models
ACM Research's time-series forecasting models is one of many ACM Research's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ACM Research's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ACM Research Shanghai
Checking the ongoing alerts about ACM Research for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ACM Research Shanghai help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ACM Research had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| ACM Research is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| ACM Research generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: ACM Research cut to Hold at Needham on units being added to U.S. Entity List - MSN |
Other Information on Investing in ACM Stock
ACM Research financial ratios help investors to determine whether ACM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ACM with respect to the benefits of owning ACM Research security.