Eyebright Medical (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 80.39
| 688050 Stock | 89.09 0.66 0.74% |
Eyebright |
Eyebright Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 80.39
The tendency of Eyebright Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 80.39 or more in 90 days |
| 89.09 | 90 days | 80.39 | about 7.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eyebright Medical to drop to 80.39 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.71 (This Eyebright Medical Technology probability density function shows the probability of Eyebright Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eyebright Medical price to stay between 80.39 and its current price of 89.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Eyebright Medical has a beta of 0.72. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Eyebright Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Eyebright Medical Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Eyebright Medical Technology has an alpha of 0.3082, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Eyebright Medical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Eyebright Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eyebright Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Eyebright Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eyebright Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eyebright Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eyebright Medical Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eyebright Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Eyebright Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eyebright Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eyebright Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Eyebright Medical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Eyebright Medical is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 Growth Companies With Insider Ownership Up To 21 percent - Simply Wall St |
Eyebright Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eyebright Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eyebright Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eyebright Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 189.5 M |
Eyebright Medical Technical Analysis
Eyebright Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eyebright Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eyebright Medical Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eyebright Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Eyebright Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Eyebright Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eyebright Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eyebright Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Eyebright Medical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Eyebright Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eyebright Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Eyebright Medical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Eyebright Medical is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 Growth Companies With Insider Ownership Up To 21 percent - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Eyebright Stock
Eyebright Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eyebright Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eyebright with respect to the benefits of owning Eyebright Medical security.