VIA Labs (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 130.5

6756 Stock  TWD 125.00  2.00  1.57%   
VIA Labs' future price is the expected price of VIA Labs instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VIA Labs performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VIA Labs Backtesting, VIA Labs Valuation, VIA Labs Correlation, VIA Labs Hype Analysis, VIA Labs Volatility, VIA Labs History as well as VIA Labs Performance.
  
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VIA Labs Target Price Odds to finish over 130.5

The tendency of VIA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over NT$ 130.50  or more in 90 days
 125.00 90 days 130.50 
about 87.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VIA Labs to move over NT$ 130.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 87.37 (This VIA Labs probability density function shows the probability of VIA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VIA Labs price to stay between its current price of NT$ 125.00  and NT$ 130.50  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VIA Labs has a beta of -0.5. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VIA Labs are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VIA Labs is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VIA Labs has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   VIA Labs Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VIA Labs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VIA Labs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
122.58125.00127.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
115.71118.12137.50
Details

VIA Labs Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VIA Labs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VIA Labs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VIA Labs, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VIA Labs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.5
σ
Overall volatility
19.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

VIA Labs Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VIA Labs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VIA Labs can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VIA Labs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

VIA Labs Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VIA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VIA Labs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VIA Labs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding67.5 M

VIA Labs Technical Analysis

VIA Labs' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VIA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VIA Labs. In general, you should focus on analyzing VIA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VIA Labs Predictive Forecast Models

VIA Labs' time-series forecasting models is one of many VIA Labs' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VIA Labs' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VIA Labs

Checking the ongoing alerts about VIA Labs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VIA Labs help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VIA Labs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for VIA Stock Analysis

When running VIA Labs' price analysis, check to measure VIA Labs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VIA Labs is operating at the current time. Most of VIA Labs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VIA Labs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VIA Labs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VIA Labs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.