VIA Labs Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

6756 Stock  TWD 125.00  2.00  1.57%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of VIA Labs on the next trading day is expected to be 125.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 158.75. VIA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for VIA Labs is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

VIA Labs Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of VIA Labs on the next trading day is expected to be 125.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.69, mean absolute percentage error of 12.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 158.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VIA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VIA Labs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

VIA Labs Stock Forecast Pattern

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VIA Labs Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting VIA Labs' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VIA Labs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 122.56 and 127.44, respectively. We have considered VIA Labs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
125.00
122.56
Downside
125.00
Expected Value
127.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VIA Labs stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VIA Labs stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9772
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.5466
MADMean absolute deviation2.6907
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0182
SAESum of the absolute errors158.75
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of VIA Labs price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of VIA Labs. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for VIA Labs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VIA Labs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
122.58125.00127.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
115.71118.12137.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for VIA Labs

For every potential investor in VIA, whether a beginner or expert, VIA Labs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VIA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VIA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VIA Labs' price trends.

VIA Labs Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VIA Labs stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VIA Labs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VIA Labs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VIA Labs Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VIA Labs' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VIA Labs' current price.

VIA Labs Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VIA Labs stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VIA Labs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VIA Labs stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VIA Labs entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

VIA Labs Risk Indicators

The analysis of VIA Labs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VIA Labs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting via stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for VIA Stock Analysis

When running VIA Labs' price analysis, check to measure VIA Labs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VIA Labs is operating at the current time. Most of VIA Labs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VIA Labs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VIA Labs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VIA Labs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.