ANJI Technology (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 32.43

6477 Stock   30.15  0.55  1.79%   
ANJI Technology's future price is the expected price of ANJI Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ANJI Technology Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ANJI Technology Backtesting, ANJI Technology Valuation, ANJI Technology Correlation, ANJI Technology Hype Analysis, ANJI Technology Volatility, ANJI Technology History as well as ANJI Technology Performance.
  
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ANJI Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 32.43

The tendency of ANJI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  32.43  or more in 90 days
 30.15 90 days 32.43 
about 59.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ANJI Technology to move over  32.43  or more in 90 days from now is about 59.21 (This ANJI Technology Co probability density function shows the probability of ANJI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ANJI Technology price to stay between its current price of  30.15  and  32.43  at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ANJI Technology Co has a beta of -0.0492. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ANJI Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ANJI Technology Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ANJI Technology Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ANJI Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ANJI Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ANJI Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.5730.7032.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.0826.2133.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.8431.9734.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.3732.9037.42
Details

ANJI Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ANJI Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ANJI Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ANJI Technology Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ANJI Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
2.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

ANJI Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ANJI Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ANJI Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ANJI Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ANJI Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

ANJI Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ANJI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ANJI Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ANJI Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114.5 M

ANJI Technology Technical Analysis

ANJI Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ANJI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ANJI Technology Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing ANJI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ANJI Technology Predictive Forecast Models

ANJI Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many ANJI Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ANJI Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ANJI Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about ANJI Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ANJI Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ANJI Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ANJI Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for ANJI Stock Analysis

When running ANJI Technology's price analysis, check to measure ANJI Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ANJI Technology is operating at the current time. Most of ANJI Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ANJI Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ANJI Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ANJI Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.