Deltamac Taiwan (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.93
| 6144 Stock | TWD 40.55 1.95 4.59% |
Deltamac |
Deltamac Taiwan Target Price Odds to finish below 38.93
The tendency of Deltamac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 38.93 or more in 90 days |
| 40.55 | 90 days | 38.93 | about 13.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deltamac Taiwan to drop to NT$ 38.93 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.88 (This Deltamac Taiwan Co probability density function shows the probability of Deltamac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Deltamac Taiwan price to stay between NT$ 38.93 and its current price of NT$40.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.44 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Deltamac Taiwan will likely underperform. Additionally Deltamac Taiwan Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Deltamac Taiwan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Deltamac Taiwan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deltamac Taiwan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Deltamac Taiwan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deltamac Taiwan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deltamac Taiwan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deltamac Taiwan Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deltamac Taiwan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 34.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Deltamac Taiwan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deltamac Taiwan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deltamac Taiwan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Deltamac Taiwan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Deltamac Taiwan has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 204.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 66.02 M. | |
| About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Deltamac Taiwan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Deltamac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Deltamac Taiwan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deltamac Taiwan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.3 M |
Deltamac Taiwan Technical Analysis
Deltamac Taiwan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deltamac Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deltamac Taiwan Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deltamac Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Deltamac Taiwan Predictive Forecast Models
Deltamac Taiwan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deltamac Taiwan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deltamac Taiwan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Deltamac Taiwan
Checking the ongoing alerts about Deltamac Taiwan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deltamac Taiwan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Deltamac Taiwan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Deltamac Taiwan has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 204.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 66.02 M. | |
| About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Deltamac Stock Analysis
When running Deltamac Taiwan's price analysis, check to measure Deltamac Taiwan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deltamac Taiwan is operating at the current time. Most of Deltamac Taiwan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deltamac Taiwan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deltamac Taiwan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deltamac Taiwan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.