KYB PORATION (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.51
| 60V Stock | EUR 17.10 0.20 1.16% |
KYB |
KYB PORATION Target Price Odds to finish below 15.51
The tendency of KYB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 15.51 or more in 90 days |
| 17.10 | 90 days | 15.51 | about 67.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KYB PORATION to drop to € 15.51 or more in 90 days from now is about 67.15 (This KYB PORATION probability density function shows the probability of KYB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KYB PORATION price to stay between € 15.51 and its current price of €17.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.9 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon KYB PORATION has a beta of -0.41. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KYB PORATION are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KYB PORATION is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KYB PORATION has an alpha of 0.2471, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KYB PORATION Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KYB PORATION
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KYB PORATION. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KYB PORATION Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KYB PORATION is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KYB PORATION's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KYB PORATION, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KYB PORATION within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
KYB PORATION Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KYB PORATION for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KYB PORATION can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
KYB PORATION Technical Analysis
KYB PORATION's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KYB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KYB PORATION. In general, you should focus on analyzing KYB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KYB PORATION Predictive Forecast Models
KYB PORATION's time-series forecasting models is one of many KYB PORATION's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KYB PORATION's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KYB PORATION
Checking the ongoing alerts about KYB PORATION for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KYB PORATION help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in KYB Stock
KYB PORATION financial ratios help investors to determine whether KYB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KYB with respect to the benefits of owning KYB PORATION security.