Linewell Software (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.8

603636 Stock   11.56  0.02  0.17%   
Linewell Software's future price is the expected price of Linewell Software instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Linewell Software Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Linewell Software Backtesting, Linewell Software Valuation, Linewell Software Correlation, Linewell Software Hype Analysis, Linewell Software Volatility, Linewell Software History as well as Linewell Software Performance.
  
Please specify Linewell Software's target price for which you would like Linewell Software odds to be computed.

Linewell Software Target Price Odds to finish below 7.8

The tendency of Linewell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  7.80  or more in 90 days
 11.56 90 days 7.80 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Linewell Software to drop to  7.80  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Linewell Software Co probability density function shows the probability of Linewell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Linewell Software price to stay between  7.80  and its current price of 11.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This suggests Linewell Software Co market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Linewell Software is expected to follow. Additionally Linewell Software Co has an alpha of 0.645, implying that it can generate a 0.64 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Linewell Software Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Linewell Software

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Linewell Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.3811.6015.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.9311.1515.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.7710.9915.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Linewell Software. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Linewell Software's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Linewell Software's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Linewell Software.

Linewell Software Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Linewell Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Linewell Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Linewell Software Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Linewell Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.64
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Linewell Software Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Linewell Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Linewell Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Linewell Software had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Linewell Software generates negative cash flow from operations
About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: High Growth Tech Stocks And 2 Other Promising Tech Companies - Yahoo Finance

Linewell Software Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Linewell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Linewell Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Linewell Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding590.8 M

Linewell Software Technical Analysis

Linewell Software's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Linewell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Linewell Software Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Linewell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Linewell Software Predictive Forecast Models

Linewell Software's time-series forecasting models is one of many Linewell Software's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Linewell Software's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Linewell Software

Checking the ongoing alerts about Linewell Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Linewell Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Linewell Software had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Linewell Software generates negative cash flow from operations
About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: High Growth Tech Stocks And 2 Other Promising Tech Companies - Yahoo Finance

Other Information on Investing in Linewell Stock

Linewell Software financial ratios help investors to determine whether Linewell Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Linewell with respect to the benefits of owning Linewell Software security.