Inly Media (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.89
| 603598 Stock | 22.03 0.20 0.90% |
Inly |
Inly Media Target Price Odds to finish below 6.89
The tendency of Inly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 6.89 or more in 90 days |
| 22.03 | 90 days | 6.89 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inly Media to drop to 6.89 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Inly Media Co probability density function shows the probability of Inly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inly Media price to stay between 6.89 and its current price of 22.03 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inly Media has a beta of 0.4. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Inly Media average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Inly Media Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Inly Media Co has an alpha of 1.0947, implying that it can generate a 1.09 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Inly Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Inly Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inly Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Inly Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inly Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inly Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inly Media Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inly Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Inly Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inly Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inly Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inly Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Inly Media Co., Ltd. Surges percent Yet Its Low PS Is No Reason For Excitement - Simply Wall St |
Inly Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inly Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inly Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 267.9 M |
Inly Media Technical Analysis
Inly Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inly Media Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inly Media Predictive Forecast Models
Inly Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inly Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inly Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inly Media
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inly Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inly Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inly Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Inly Media Co., Ltd. Surges percent Yet Its Low PS Is No Reason For Excitement - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Inly Stock
Inly Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inly Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inly with respect to the benefits of owning Inly Media security.