Qianhe CondimentFood (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.85

603027 Stock   12.81  0.03  0.23%   
Qianhe CondimentFood's future price is the expected price of Qianhe CondimentFood instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Qianhe CondimentFood Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Qianhe CondimentFood Backtesting, Qianhe CondimentFood Valuation, Qianhe CondimentFood Correlation, Qianhe CondimentFood Hype Analysis, Qianhe CondimentFood Volatility, Qianhe CondimentFood History as well as Qianhe CondimentFood Performance.
  
Please specify Qianhe CondimentFood's target price for which you would like Qianhe CondimentFood odds to be computed.

Qianhe CondimentFood Target Price Odds to finish below 11.85

The tendency of Qianhe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  11.85  or more in 90 days
 12.81 90 days 11.85 
about 16.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qianhe CondimentFood to drop to  11.85  or more in 90 days from now is about 16.97 (This Qianhe CondimentFood Co probability density function shows the probability of Qianhe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qianhe CondimentFood price to stay between  11.85  and its current price of 12.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Qianhe CondimentFood has a beta of 0.0326. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Qianhe CondimentFood average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Qianhe CondimentFood Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Qianhe CondimentFood Co has an alpha of 0.4316, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Qianhe CondimentFood Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Qianhe CondimentFood

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qianhe CondimentFood. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7112.8115.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.6112.7115.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.7812.8715.97
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Qianhe CondimentFood. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Qianhe CondimentFood's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Qianhe CondimentFood's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Qianhe CondimentFood.

Qianhe CondimentFood Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qianhe CondimentFood is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qianhe CondimentFood's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qianhe CondimentFood Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qianhe CondimentFood within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Qianhe CondimentFood Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qianhe CondimentFood for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qianhe CondimentFood can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Qianhe CondimentFood is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Qianhe CondimentFood Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Qianhe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Qianhe CondimentFood's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qianhe CondimentFood's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Qianhe CondimentFood Technical Analysis

Qianhe CondimentFood's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qianhe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qianhe CondimentFood Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qianhe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Qianhe CondimentFood Predictive Forecast Models

Qianhe CondimentFood's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qianhe CondimentFood's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qianhe CondimentFood's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Qianhe CondimentFood

Checking the ongoing alerts about Qianhe CondimentFood for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qianhe CondimentFood help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Qianhe CondimentFood is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Qianhe Stock

Qianhe CondimentFood financial ratios help investors to determine whether Qianhe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Qianhe with respect to the benefits of owning Qianhe CondimentFood security.