JiShi Media (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.10
| 601929 Stock | 2.04 0.19 10.27% |
JiShi |
JiShi Media Target Price Odds to finish below 0.10
The tendency of JiShi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.10 or more in 90 days |
| 2.04 | 90 days | 0.10 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JiShi Media to drop to 0.10 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This JiShi Media Co probability density function shows the probability of JiShi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JiShi Media price to stay between 0.10 and its current price of 2.04 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JiShi Media Co has a beta of -0.0487. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding JiShi Media are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, JiShi Media Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally JiShi Media Co has an alpha of 0.9549, implying that it can generate a 0.95 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JiShi Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JiShi Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JiShi Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JiShi Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JiShi Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JiShi Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JiShi Media Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JiShi Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
JiShi Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JiShi Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JiShi Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JiShi Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.6 B. Net Loss for the year was (692.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 404.97 M. | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
JiShi Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JiShi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JiShi Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JiShi Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.5 B |
JiShi Media Technical Analysis
JiShi Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JiShi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JiShi Media Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing JiShi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JiShi Media Predictive Forecast Models
JiShi Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many JiShi Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JiShi Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JiShi Media
Checking the ongoing alerts about JiShi Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JiShi Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JiShi Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.6 B. Net Loss for the year was (692.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 404.97 M. | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in JiShi Stock
JiShi Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether JiShi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JiShi with respect to the benefits of owning JiShi Media security.