Beijing Shanghai (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.06

601816 Stock   6.06  0.08  1.30%   
Beijing Shanghai's future price is the expected price of Beijing Shanghai instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Beijing Shanghai High Speed performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Beijing Shanghai Backtesting, Beijing Shanghai Valuation, Beijing Shanghai Correlation, Beijing Shanghai Hype Analysis, Beijing Shanghai Volatility, Beijing Shanghai History as well as Beijing Shanghai Performance.
  
Please specify Beijing Shanghai's target price for which you would like Beijing Shanghai odds to be computed.

Beijing Shanghai Target Price Odds to finish below 6.06

The tendency of Beijing Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 6.06 90 days 6.06 
about 85.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Beijing Shanghai to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 85.56 (This Beijing Shanghai High Speed probability density function shows the probability of Beijing Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Beijing Shanghai has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Beijing Shanghai average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Beijing Shanghai High Speed will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Beijing Shanghai High Speed has an alpha of 0.2318, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Beijing Shanghai Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Beijing Shanghai

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing Shanghai High. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.056.068.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.426.438.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.935.947.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Beijing Shanghai Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Beijing Shanghai is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Beijing Shanghai's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Beijing Shanghai High Speed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Beijing Shanghai within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Beijing Shanghai Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Beijing Shanghai for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Beijing Shanghai High can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Beijing Shanghai Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Beijing Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Beijing Shanghai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beijing Shanghai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49.1 B

Beijing Shanghai Technical Analysis

Beijing Shanghai's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Beijing Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Beijing Shanghai High Speed. In general, you should focus on analyzing Beijing Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Beijing Shanghai Predictive Forecast Models

Beijing Shanghai's time-series forecasting models is one of many Beijing Shanghai's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Beijing Shanghai's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Beijing Shanghai High

Checking the ongoing alerts about Beijing Shanghai for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Beijing Shanghai High help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing Shanghai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Shanghai security.