Power Construction (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.49

601669 Stock   5.48  0.09  1.62%   
Power Construction's future price is the expected price of Power Construction instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Power Construction Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Power Construction Backtesting, Power Construction Valuation, Power Construction Correlation, Power Construction Hype Analysis, Power Construction Volatility, Power Construction History as well as Power Construction Performance.
  
Please specify Power Construction's target price for which you would like Power Construction odds to be computed.

Power Construction Target Price Odds to finish below 4.49

The tendency of Power Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  4.49  or more in 90 days
 5.48 90 days 4.49 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Power Construction to drop to  4.49  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Power Construction Corp probability density function shows the probability of Power Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Power Construction Corp price to stay between  4.49  and its current price of 5.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Power Construction has a beta of 0.0863. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Power Construction average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Power Construction Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Power Construction Corp has an alpha of 0.3023, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Power Construction Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Power Construction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Power Construction Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.705.488.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.575.358.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.775.568.34
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Power Construction. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Power Construction's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Power Construction's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Power Construction Corp.

Power Construction Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Power Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Power Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Power Construction Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Power Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Power Construction Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Power Construction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Power Construction Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Power Construction Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Power Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Power Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Power Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.2 B

Power Construction Technical Analysis

Power Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Power Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Power Construction Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Power Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Power Construction Predictive Forecast Models

Power Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many Power Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Power Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Power Construction Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Power Construction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Power Construction Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Power Stock

Power Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Power Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Power with respect to the benefits of owning Power Construction security.