Concord Securities (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.88
| 6016 Stock | TWD 13.40 0.15 1.13% |
Concord |
Concord Securities Target Price Odds to finish below 9.88
The tendency of Concord Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 9.88 or more in 90 days |
| 13.40 | 90 days | 9.88 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Concord Securities to drop to NT$ 9.88 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Concord Securities Co probability density function shows the probability of Concord Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Concord Securities price to stay between NT$ 9.88 and its current price of NT$13.4 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Concord Securities has a beta of 0.12. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Concord Securities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Concord Securities Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Concord Securities Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Concord Securities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Concord Securities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Concord Securities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Concord Securities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Concord Securities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Concord Securities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Concord Securities Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Concord Securities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Concord Securities Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Concord Securities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Concord Securities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Concord Securities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Concord Securities Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Concord Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Concord Securities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Concord Securities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 594.5 M |
Concord Securities Technical Analysis
Concord Securities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Concord Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Concord Securities Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Concord Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Concord Securities Predictive Forecast Models
Concord Securities' time-series forecasting models is one of many Concord Securities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Concord Securities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Concord Securities
Checking the ongoing alerts about Concord Securities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Concord Securities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Concord Securities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Concord Stock Analysis
When running Concord Securities' price analysis, check to measure Concord Securities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Concord Securities is operating at the current time. Most of Concord Securities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Concord Securities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Concord Securities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Concord Securities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.