Ye Chiu (China) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.81

601388 Stock   2.75  0.03  1.08%   
Ye Chiu's future price is the expected price of Ye Chiu instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ye Chiu Metal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ye Chiu Backtesting, Ye Chiu Valuation, Ye Chiu Correlation, Ye Chiu Hype Analysis, Ye Chiu Volatility, Ye Chiu History as well as Ye Chiu Performance.
  
Please specify Ye Chiu's target price for which you would like Ye Chiu odds to be computed.

Ye Chiu Target Price Odds to finish over 2.81

The tendency of 601388 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  2.81  or more in 90 days
 2.75 90 days 2.81 
about 17.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ye Chiu to move over  2.81  or more in 90 days from now is about 17.88 (This Ye Chiu Metal probability density function shows the probability of 601388 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ye Chiu Metal price to stay between its current price of  2.75  and  2.81  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ye Chiu Metal has a beta of -0.0683. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ye Chiu are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ye Chiu Metal is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ye Chiu Metal has an alpha of 0.4752, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ye Chiu Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ye Chiu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ye Chiu Metal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.836.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.245.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ye Chiu. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ye Chiu's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ye Chiu's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ye Chiu Metal.

Ye Chiu Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ye Chiu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ye Chiu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ye Chiu Metal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ye Chiu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Ye Chiu Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ye Chiu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ye Chiu Metal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ye Chiu Metal had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ye Chiu Metal is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Retail investors in Yechiu Metal Recycling Ltd. are its biggest bettors, and their bets paid off as stock gained 9.5 percent last week - Simply Wall St

Ye Chiu Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 601388 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ye Chiu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ye Chiu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.2 B

Ye Chiu Technical Analysis

Ye Chiu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 601388 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ye Chiu Metal. In general, you should focus on analyzing 601388 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ye Chiu Predictive Forecast Models

Ye Chiu's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ye Chiu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ye Chiu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ye Chiu Metal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ye Chiu for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ye Chiu Metal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ye Chiu Metal had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ye Chiu Metal is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Retail investors in Yechiu Metal Recycling Ltd. are its biggest bettors, and their bets paid off as stock gained 9.5 percent last week - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in 601388 Stock

Ye Chiu financial ratios help investors to determine whether 601388 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 601388 with respect to the benefits of owning Ye Chiu security.