Jinling Hotel (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.26
| 601007 Stock | 7.82 0.23 3.03% |
Jinling |
Jinling Hotel Target Price Odds to finish below 6.26
The tendency of Jinling Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 6.26 or more in 90 days |
| 7.82 | 90 days | 6.26 | about 11.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jinling Hotel to drop to 6.26 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.33 (This Jinling Hotel Corp probability density function shows the probability of Jinling Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jinling Hotel Corp price to stay between 6.26 and its current price of 7.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jinling Hotel has a beta of 0.65. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Jinling Hotel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jinling Hotel Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jinling Hotel Corp has an alpha of 0.2893, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jinling Hotel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jinling Hotel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jinling Hotel Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jinling Hotel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jinling Hotel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jinling Hotel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jinling Hotel Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jinling Hotel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Jinling Hotel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jinling Hotel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jinling Hotel Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Jinling Hotel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jinling Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jinling Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jinling Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 390 M |
Jinling Hotel Technical Analysis
Jinling Hotel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jinling Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jinling Hotel Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jinling Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jinling Hotel Predictive Forecast Models
Jinling Hotel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jinling Hotel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jinling Hotel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jinling Hotel Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jinling Hotel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jinling Hotel Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Jinling Stock
Jinling Hotel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jinling Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jinling with respect to the benefits of owning Jinling Hotel security.