Kweichow Moutai (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1728.0
| 600519 Stock | 1,529 1.18 0.08% |
Kweichow |
Kweichow Moutai Target Price Odds to finish below 1728.0
The tendency of Kweichow Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1,728 after 90 days |
| 1,529 | 90 days | 1,728 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kweichow Moutai to stay under 1,728 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Kweichow Moutai Co probability density function shows the probability of Kweichow Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kweichow Moutai price to stay between its current price of 1,529 and 1,728 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kweichow Moutai has a beta of 0.31. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kweichow Moutai average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kweichow Moutai Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kweichow Moutai Co has an alpha of 0.3043, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kweichow Moutai Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kweichow Moutai
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kweichow Moutai. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kweichow Moutai Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kweichow Moutai is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kweichow Moutai's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kweichow Moutai Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kweichow Moutai within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 73.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Kweichow Moutai Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kweichow Moutai for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kweichow Moutai can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kweichow Moutai generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kweichow Moutai is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Kweichow Moutai Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of CN23.88 - Simply Wall St |
Kweichow Moutai Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kweichow Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kweichow Moutai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kweichow Moutai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B |
Kweichow Moutai Technical Analysis
Kweichow Moutai's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kweichow Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kweichow Moutai Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kweichow Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kweichow Moutai Predictive Forecast Models
Kweichow Moutai's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kweichow Moutai's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kweichow Moutai's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kweichow Moutai
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kweichow Moutai for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kweichow Moutai help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kweichow Moutai generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kweichow Moutai is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Kweichow Moutai Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of CN23.88 - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Kweichow Stock
Kweichow Moutai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kweichow Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kweichow with respect to the benefits of owning Kweichow Moutai security.