Hang Xiao (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.16
| 600477 Stock | 2.93 0.11 3.62% |
Hang |
Hang Xiao Target Price Odds to finish over 12.16
The tendency of Hang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 12.16 or more in 90 days |
| 2.93 | 90 days | 12.16 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hang Xiao to move over 12.16 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Hang Xiao Steel probability density function shows the probability of Hang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hang Xiao Steel price to stay between its current price of 2.93 and 12.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hang Xiao Steel has a beta of -0.49. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hang Xiao are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hang Xiao Steel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hang Xiao Steel has an alpha of 0.5253, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hang Xiao Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hang Xiao
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hang Xiao Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hang Xiao Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hang Xiao is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hang Xiao's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hang Xiao Steel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hang Xiao within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Hang Xiao Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hang Xiao for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hang Xiao Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hang Xiao Steel appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Hang Xiao generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Anhui Honglu Steel Construction CO., LTD Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 29 percent - Simply Wall St |
Hang Xiao Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hang Xiao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hang Xiao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 B |
Hang Xiao Technical Analysis
Hang Xiao's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hang Xiao Steel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hang Xiao Predictive Forecast Models
Hang Xiao's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hang Xiao's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hang Xiao's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hang Xiao Steel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hang Xiao for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hang Xiao Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hang Xiao Steel appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Hang Xiao generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Anhui Honglu Steel Construction CO., LTD Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 29 percent - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Hang Stock
Hang Xiao financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hang with respect to the benefits of owning Hang Xiao security.