SAIC (China) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.57
| 600104 Stock | 18.19 0.14 0.76% |
SAIC |
SAIC Target Price Odds to finish over 13.57
The tendency of SAIC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 13.57 in 90 days |
| 18.19 | 90 days | 13.57 | about 73.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SAIC to stay above 13.57 in 90 days from now is about 73.4 (This SAIC Motor Corp probability density function shows the probability of SAIC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SAIC Motor Corp price to stay between 13.57 and its current price of 18.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SAIC Motor Corp has a beta of -0.3. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SAIC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SAIC Motor Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SAIC Motor Corp has an alpha of 0.7256, implying that it can generate a 0.73 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SAIC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SAIC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SAIC Motor Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SAIC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SAIC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SAIC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SAIC Motor Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SAIC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
SAIC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SAIC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SAIC Motor Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SAIC Motor Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: GM sounds a warning on troubled China market, becoming latest carmaker to do so - MSN |
SAIC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SAIC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SAIC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SAIC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.7 B |
SAIC Technical Analysis
SAIC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SAIC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SAIC Motor Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing SAIC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SAIC Predictive Forecast Models
SAIC's time-series forecasting models is one of many SAIC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SAIC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SAIC Motor Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about SAIC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SAIC Motor Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SAIC Motor Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: GM sounds a warning on troubled China market, becoming latest carmaker to do so - MSN |
Other Information on Investing in SAIC Stock
SAIC financial ratios help investors to determine whether SAIC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SAIC with respect to the benefits of owning SAIC security.