TINC Comm (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.68
| 5TI Stock | EUR 10.88 0.00 0.00% |
TINC |
TINC Comm Target Price Odds to finish below 11.68
The tendency of TINC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 11.68 after 90 days |
| 10.88 | 90 days | 11.68 | about 91.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TINC Comm to stay under € 11.68 after 90 days from now is about 91.06 (This TINC Comm VA probability density function shows the probability of TINC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TINC Comm VA price to stay between its current price of € 10.88 and € 11.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.21 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon TINC Comm VA has a beta of -0.0776. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TINC Comm are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TINC Comm VA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TINC Comm VA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TINC Comm Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TINC Comm
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TINC Comm VA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TINC Comm Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TINC Comm is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TINC Comm's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TINC Comm VA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TINC Comm within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
TINC Comm Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TINC Comm for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TINC Comm VA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TINC Comm VA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TINC Comm VA has accumulated about 58.28 M in cash with (4.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.14. | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
TINC Comm Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TINC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TINC Comm's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TINC Comm's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 16.4 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.54 |
TINC Comm Technical Analysis
TINC Comm's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TINC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TINC Comm VA. In general, you should focus on analyzing TINC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TINC Comm Predictive Forecast Models
TINC Comm's time-series forecasting models is one of many TINC Comm's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TINC Comm's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TINC Comm VA
Checking the ongoing alerts about TINC Comm for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TINC Comm VA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TINC Comm VA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TINC Comm VA has accumulated about 58.28 M in cash with (4.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.14. | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in TINC Stock
TINC Comm financial ratios help investors to determine whether TINC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TINC with respect to the benefits of owning TINC Comm security.