JOHNSON SVC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.36
| 5K7 Stock | EUR 1.56 0.10 6.02% |
JOHNSON |
JOHNSON SVC Target Price Odds to finish below 1.36
The tendency of JOHNSON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 1.36 or more in 90 days |
| 1.56 | 90 days | 1.36 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JOHNSON SVC to drop to € 1.36 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This JOHNSON SVC LS 10 probability density function shows the probability of JOHNSON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JOHNSON SVC LS price to stay between € 1.36 and its current price of €1.56 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon JOHNSON SVC LS 10 has a beta of -0.45. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding JOHNSON SVC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, JOHNSON SVC LS 10 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally JOHNSON SVC LS 10 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. JOHNSON SVC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JOHNSON SVC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JOHNSON SVC LS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JOHNSON SVC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JOHNSON SVC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JOHNSON SVC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JOHNSON SVC LS 10, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JOHNSON SVC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
JOHNSON SVC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JOHNSON SVC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JOHNSON SVC LS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JOHNSON SVC LS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| JOHNSON SVC LS may become a speculative penny stock | |
| JOHNSON SVC LS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| JOHNSON SVC LS 10 has accumulated 53.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.21, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. JOHNSON SVC LS has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist JOHNSON SVC until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, JOHNSON SVC's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like JOHNSON SVC LS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for JOHNSON to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about JOHNSON SVC's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 214.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 73.9 M. | |
| About 72.0% of JOHNSON SVC shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
JOHNSON SVC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JOHNSON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JOHNSON SVC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JOHNSON SVC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Float Shares | 375.93M | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 4 |
JOHNSON SVC Technical Analysis
JOHNSON SVC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JOHNSON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JOHNSON SVC LS 10. In general, you should focus on analyzing JOHNSON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JOHNSON SVC Predictive Forecast Models
JOHNSON SVC's time-series forecasting models is one of many JOHNSON SVC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JOHNSON SVC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JOHNSON SVC LS
Checking the ongoing alerts about JOHNSON SVC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JOHNSON SVC LS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JOHNSON SVC LS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| JOHNSON SVC LS may become a speculative penny stock | |
| JOHNSON SVC LS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| JOHNSON SVC LS 10 has accumulated 53.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.21, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. JOHNSON SVC LS has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist JOHNSON SVC until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, JOHNSON SVC's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like JOHNSON SVC LS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for JOHNSON to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about JOHNSON SVC's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 214.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 73.9 M. | |
| About 72.0% of JOHNSON SVC shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in JOHNSON Stock
JOHNSON SVC financial ratios help investors to determine whether JOHNSON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JOHNSON with respect to the benefits of owning JOHNSON SVC security.