MEDIPAL HOLDINGS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.2
| 59Z Stock | EUR 14.40 0.10 0.70% |
MEDIPAL |
MEDIPAL HOLDINGS Target Price Odds to finish over 15.2
The tendency of MEDIPAL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 15.20 or more in 90 days |
| 14.40 | 90 days | 15.20 | about 34.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MEDIPAL HOLDINGS to move over € 15.20 or more in 90 days from now is about 34.46 (This MEDIPAL HOLDINGS P probability density function shows the probability of MEDIPAL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MEDIPAL HOLDINGS P price to stay between its current price of € 14.40 and € 15.20 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon MEDIPAL HOLDINGS has a beta of 0.43. This suggests as returns on the market go up, MEDIPAL HOLDINGS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MEDIPAL HOLDINGS P will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MEDIPAL HOLDINGS P has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MEDIPAL HOLDINGS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MEDIPAL HOLDINGS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MEDIPAL HOLDINGS P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MEDIPAL HOLDINGS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MEDIPAL HOLDINGS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MEDIPAL HOLDINGS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MEDIPAL HOLDINGS P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MEDIPAL HOLDINGS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
MEDIPAL HOLDINGS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MEDIPAL HOLDINGS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MEDIPAL HOLDINGS P can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MEDIPAL HOLDINGS P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
MEDIPAL HOLDINGS Technical Analysis
MEDIPAL HOLDINGS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MEDIPAL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MEDIPAL HOLDINGS P. In general, you should focus on analyzing MEDIPAL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MEDIPAL HOLDINGS Predictive Forecast Models
MEDIPAL HOLDINGS's time-series forecasting models is one of many MEDIPAL HOLDINGS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MEDIPAL HOLDINGS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MEDIPAL HOLDINGS P
Checking the ongoing alerts about MEDIPAL HOLDINGS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MEDIPAL HOLDINGS P help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MEDIPAL HOLDINGS P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in MEDIPAL Stock
MEDIPAL HOLDINGS financial ratios help investors to determine whether MEDIPAL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MEDIPAL with respect to the benefits of owning MEDIPAL HOLDINGS security.