TIMBERCREEK FINL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.51
| 58O Stock | EUR 4.56 0.02 0.44% |
TIMBERCREEK |
TIMBERCREEK FINL Target Price Odds to finish over 4.51
The tendency of TIMBERCREEK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 4.51 in 90 days |
| 4.56 | 90 days | 4.51 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TIMBERCREEK FINL to stay above € 4.51 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This TIMBERCREEK FINL probability density function shows the probability of TIMBERCREEK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TIMBERCREEK FINL price to stay between € 4.51 and its current price of €4.56 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon TIMBERCREEK FINL has a beta of 0.86. This suggests TIMBERCREEK FINL market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, TIMBERCREEK FINL is expected to follow. Additionally TIMBERCREEK FINL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TIMBERCREEK FINL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TIMBERCREEK FINL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TIMBERCREEK FINL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TIMBERCREEK FINL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TIMBERCREEK FINL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TIMBERCREEK FINL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TIMBERCREEK FINL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TIMBERCREEK FINL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
TIMBERCREEK FINL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TIMBERCREEK FINL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TIMBERCREEK FINL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TIMBERCREEK FINL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
TIMBERCREEK FINL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TIMBERCREEK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TIMBERCREEK FINL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TIMBERCREEK FINL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.086 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.48 | |
| Shares Float | 83.8 M |
TIMBERCREEK FINL Technical Analysis
TIMBERCREEK FINL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TIMBERCREEK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TIMBERCREEK FINL. In general, you should focus on analyzing TIMBERCREEK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TIMBERCREEK FINL Predictive Forecast Models
TIMBERCREEK FINL's time-series forecasting models is one of many TIMBERCREEK FINL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TIMBERCREEK FINL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TIMBERCREEK FINL
Checking the ongoing alerts about TIMBERCREEK FINL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TIMBERCREEK FINL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TIMBERCREEK FINL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in TIMBERCREEK Stock
TIMBERCREEK FINL financial ratios help investors to determine whether TIMBERCREEK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TIMBERCREEK with respect to the benefits of owning TIMBERCREEK FINL security.