GANGLONG CHINA (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.008496

52J Stock  EUR 0.01  0.0005  5.88%   
GANGLONG CHINA's future price is the expected price of GANGLONG CHINA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GANGLONG CHINA PRGRLTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GANGLONG CHINA Backtesting, GANGLONG CHINA Valuation, GANGLONG CHINA Correlation, GANGLONG CHINA Hype Analysis, GANGLONG CHINA Volatility, GANGLONG CHINA History as well as GANGLONG CHINA Performance.
  
Please specify GANGLONG CHINA's target price for which you would like GANGLONG CHINA odds to be computed.

GANGLONG CHINA Target Price Odds to finish over 0.008496

The tendency of GANGLONG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 0.01  in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 85.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GANGLONG CHINA to stay above € 0.01  in 90 days from now is about 85.26 (This GANGLONG CHINA PRGRLTD probability density function shows the probability of GANGLONG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GANGLONG CHINA PRGRLTD price to stay between € 0.01  and its current price of €0.009 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.61 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, GANGLONG CHINA will likely underperform. In addition to that GANGLONG CHINA PRGRLTD has an alpha of 4.5974, implying that it can generate a 4.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GANGLONG CHINA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GANGLONG CHINA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GANGLONG CHINA PRGRLTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0133.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0133.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.0133.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details

GANGLONG CHINA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GANGLONG CHINA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GANGLONG CHINA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GANGLONG CHINA PRGRLTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GANGLONG CHINA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
4.60
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.61
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

GANGLONG CHINA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GANGLONG CHINA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GANGLONG CHINA PRGRLTD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GANGLONG CHINA is way too risky over 90 days horizon
GANGLONG CHINA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GANGLONG CHINA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
GANGLONG CHINA PRGRLTD has accumulated about 6.57 B in cash with (4.21 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.03, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 74.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

GANGLONG CHINA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GANGLONG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GANGLONG CHINA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GANGLONG CHINA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.18
Float Shares417.57M
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield40.72%

GANGLONG CHINA Technical Analysis

GANGLONG CHINA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GANGLONG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GANGLONG CHINA PRGRLTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing GANGLONG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GANGLONG CHINA Predictive Forecast Models

GANGLONG CHINA's time-series forecasting models is one of many GANGLONG CHINA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GANGLONG CHINA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GANGLONG CHINA PRGRLTD

Checking the ongoing alerts about GANGLONG CHINA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GANGLONG CHINA PRGRLTD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GANGLONG CHINA is way too risky over 90 days horizon
GANGLONG CHINA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GANGLONG CHINA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
GANGLONG CHINA PRGRLTD has accumulated about 6.57 B in cash with (4.21 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.03, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 74.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in GANGLONG Stock

GANGLONG CHINA financial ratios help investors to determine whether GANGLONG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GANGLONG with respect to the benefits of owning GANGLONG CHINA security.