Amundi ETF (UK) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 64.33

500D Etf   63.62  0.05  0.08%   
Amundi ETF's future price is the expected price of Amundi ETF instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amundi ETF SP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amundi ETF Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Amundi ETF Correlation, Amundi ETF Hype Analysis, Amundi ETF Volatility, Amundi ETF History as well as Amundi ETF Performance.
  
Please specify Amundi ETF's target price for which you would like Amundi ETF odds to be computed.

Amundi ETF Target Price Odds to finish over 64.33

The tendency of Amundi Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  64.33  or more in 90 days
 63.62 90 days 64.33 
about 29.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amundi ETF to move over  64.33  or more in 90 days from now is about 29.65 (This Amundi ETF SP probability density function shows the probability of Amundi Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amundi ETF SP price to stay between its current price of  63.62  and  64.33  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amundi ETF has a beta of 0.4. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amundi ETF average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amundi ETF SP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amundi ETF SP has an alpha of 0.0342, implying that it can generate a 0.0342 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amundi ETF Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amundi ETF

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi ETF SP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.8963.6264.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.8763.6064.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
63.2063.9464.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
62.9164.3265.73
Details

Amundi ETF Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amundi ETF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amundi ETF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amundi ETF SP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amundi ETF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
1.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Amundi ETF Technical Analysis

Amundi ETF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amundi Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amundi ETF SP. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amundi Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amundi ETF Predictive Forecast Models

Amundi ETF's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amundi ETF's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amundi ETF's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Amundi ETF in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Amundi ETF's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Amundi ETF options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Amundi Etf

Amundi ETF financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amundi Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amundi with respect to the benefits of owning Amundi ETF security.