SBA Communications (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 195.61

4SB Stock  EUR 193.95  0.05  0.03%   
SBA Communications' future price is the expected price of SBA Communications instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SBA Communications Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SBA Communications Backtesting, SBA Communications Valuation, SBA Communications Correlation, SBA Communications Hype Analysis, SBA Communications Volatility, SBA Communications History as well as SBA Communications Performance.
  
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SBA Communications Target Price Odds to finish below 195.61

The tendency of SBA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 195.61  after 90 days
 193.95 90 days 195.61 
nearly 4.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SBA Communications to stay under € 195.61  after 90 days from now is nearly 4.63 (This SBA Communications Corp probability density function shows the probability of SBA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SBA Communications Corp price to stay between its current price of € 193.95  and € 195.61  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SBA Communications Corp has a beta of -0.0794. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SBA Communications are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SBA Communications Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SBA Communications Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SBA Communications Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SBA Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SBA Communications Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
192.45193.95195.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
161.85163.35213.35
Details

SBA Communications Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SBA Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SBA Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SBA Communications Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SBA Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
8.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

SBA Communications Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SBA Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SBA Communications Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SBA Communications generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SBA Communications Corp has accumulated 12.84 B in total debt. SBA Communications Corp has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist SBA Communications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SBA Communications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SBA Communications Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SBA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SBA Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

SBA Communications Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SBA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SBA Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SBA Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding108 M

SBA Communications Technical Analysis

SBA Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SBA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SBA Communications Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing SBA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SBA Communications Predictive Forecast Models

SBA Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many SBA Communications' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SBA Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SBA Communications Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about SBA Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SBA Communications Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SBA Communications generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SBA Communications Corp has accumulated 12.84 B in total debt. SBA Communications Corp has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist SBA Communications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SBA Communications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SBA Communications Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SBA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SBA Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in SBA Stock

When determining whether SBA Communications Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of SBA Communications' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sba Communications Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sba Communications Corp Stock:
Please note, there is a significant difference between SBA Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SBA Communications is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SBA Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.