Isetan Mitsukoshi (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.31

4HP Stock  EUR 15.30  0.30  2.00%   
Isetan Mitsukoshi's future price is the expected price of Isetan Mitsukoshi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Isetan Mitsukoshi Backtesting, Isetan Mitsukoshi Valuation, Isetan Mitsukoshi Correlation, Isetan Mitsukoshi Hype Analysis, Isetan Mitsukoshi Volatility, Isetan Mitsukoshi History as well as Isetan Mitsukoshi Performance.
  
Please specify Isetan Mitsukoshi's target price for which you would like Isetan Mitsukoshi odds to be computed.

Isetan Mitsukoshi Target Price Odds to finish below 11.31

The tendency of Isetan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 11.31  or more in 90 days
 15.30 90 days 11.31 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Isetan Mitsukoshi to drop to € 11.31  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Isetan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Isetan Mitsukoshi price to stay between € 11.31  and its current price of €15.3 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings has a beta of -0.16. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Isetan Mitsukoshi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings has an alpha of 0.237, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Isetan Mitsukoshi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Isetan Mitsukoshi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Isetan Mitsukoshi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5415.3018.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9414.7017.46
Details

Isetan Mitsukoshi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Isetan Mitsukoshi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Isetan Mitsukoshi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Isetan Mitsukoshi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Isetan Mitsukoshi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Isetan Mitsukoshi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Isetan Mitsukoshi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings has accumulated 112 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.42, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Isetan Mitsukoshi has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Isetan Mitsukoshi until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Isetan Mitsukoshi's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Isetan Mitsukoshi sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Isetan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Isetan Mitsukoshi's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Isetan Mitsukoshi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Isetan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Isetan Mitsukoshi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Isetan Mitsukoshi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding381.5 M

Isetan Mitsukoshi Technical Analysis

Isetan Mitsukoshi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Isetan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Isetan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Isetan Mitsukoshi Predictive Forecast Models

Isetan Mitsukoshi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Isetan Mitsukoshi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Isetan Mitsukoshi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Isetan Mitsukoshi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Isetan Mitsukoshi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Isetan Mitsukoshi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings has accumulated 112 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.42, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Isetan Mitsukoshi has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Isetan Mitsukoshi until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Isetan Mitsukoshi's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Isetan Mitsukoshi sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Isetan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Isetan Mitsukoshi's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Isetan Stock

Isetan Mitsukoshi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Isetan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Isetan with respect to the benefits of owning Isetan Mitsukoshi security.