Hoist Finance (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.59
| 4HF Stock | EUR 8.18 0.07 0.86% |
Hoist |
Hoist Finance Target Price Odds to finish below 2.59
The tendency of Hoist Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 2.59 or more in 90 days |
| 8.18 | 90 days | 2.59 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hoist Finance to drop to € 2.59 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hoist Finance AB probability density function shows the probability of Hoist Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hoist Finance AB price to stay between € 2.59 and its current price of €8.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hoist Finance has a beta of 0.26. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Hoist Finance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hoist Finance AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hoist Finance AB has an alpha of 0.1508, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hoist Finance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hoist Finance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hoist Finance AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hoist Finance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hoist Finance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hoist Finance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hoist Finance AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hoist Finance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Hoist Finance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hoist Finance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hoist Finance AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hoist Finance AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Hoist Finance AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Hoist Finance AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.59 B. Net Loss for the year was (117 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.83 B. | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Hoist Finance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hoist Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hoist Finance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hoist Finance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89.3 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 90 M | |
| Shares Float | 61.4 M |
Hoist Finance Technical Analysis
Hoist Finance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hoist Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hoist Finance AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hoist Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hoist Finance Predictive Forecast Models
Hoist Finance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hoist Finance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hoist Finance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hoist Finance AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hoist Finance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hoist Finance AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hoist Finance AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Hoist Finance AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Hoist Finance AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.59 B. Net Loss for the year was (117 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.83 B. | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Hoist Stock
Hoist Finance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hoist Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hoist with respect to the benefits of owning Hoist Finance security.