Daldrup Söhne (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.12
| 4DS Stock | 9.60 0.02 0.21% |
Daldrup |
Daldrup Söhne Target Price Odds to finish below 9.12
The tendency of Daldrup Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 9.12 or more in 90 days |
| 9.60 | 90 days | 9.12 | about 71.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Daldrup Söhne to drop to 9.12 or more in 90 days from now is about 71.86 (This Daldrup Shne Aktiengesellschaft probability density function shows the probability of Daldrup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Daldrup Shne Aktieng price to stay between 9.12 and its current price of 9.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Daldrup Söhne has a beta of 0.3. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Daldrup Söhne average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Daldrup Shne Aktiengesellschaft will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Daldrup Shne Aktiengesellschaft has an alpha of 0.0376, implying that it can generate a 0.0376 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Daldrup Söhne Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Daldrup Söhne
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daldrup Shne Aktieng. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Daldrup Söhne's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Daldrup Söhne Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Daldrup Söhne is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Daldrup Söhne's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Daldrup Shne Aktiengesellschaft, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Daldrup Söhne within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Daldrup Söhne Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Daldrup Söhne for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Daldrup Shne Aktieng can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Daldrup Shne Aktiengesellschaft has accumulated about 3.03 M in cash with (413.82 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Daldrup Söhne Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Daldrup Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Daldrup Söhne's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Daldrup Söhne's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 M |
Daldrup Söhne Technical Analysis
Daldrup Söhne's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Daldrup Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Daldrup Shne Aktiengesellschaft. In general, you should focus on analyzing Daldrup Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Daldrup Söhne Predictive Forecast Models
Daldrup Söhne's time-series forecasting models is one of many Daldrup Söhne's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Daldrup Söhne's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Daldrup Shne Aktieng
Checking the ongoing alerts about Daldrup Söhne for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Daldrup Shne Aktieng help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Daldrup Shne Aktiengesellschaft has accumulated about 3.03 M in cash with (413.82 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Daldrup Stock Analysis
When running Daldrup Söhne's price analysis, check to measure Daldrup Söhne's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Daldrup Söhne is operating at the current time. Most of Daldrup Söhne's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Daldrup Söhne's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Daldrup Söhne's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Daldrup Söhne to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.