Fanhua (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.34
| 4CIA Stock | EUR 1.11 0.09 8.82% |
Fanhua |
Fanhua Target Price Odds to finish below 1.34
The tendency of Fanhua Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 1.34 after 90 days |
| 1.11 | 90 days | 1.34 | about 70.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fanhua to stay under € 1.34 after 90 days from now is about 70.97 (This Fanhua Inc probability density function shows the probability of Fanhua Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fanhua Inc price to stay between its current price of € 1.11 and € 1.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fanhua has a beta of 0.73. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Fanhua average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fanhua Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fanhua Inc has an alpha of 0.3418, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fanhua Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fanhua
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fanhua Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fanhua Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fanhua is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fanhua's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fanhua Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fanhua within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Fanhua Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fanhua for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fanhua Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fanhua Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fanhua Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Fanhua Inc may become a speculative penny stock |
Fanhua Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fanhua Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fanhua's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fanhua's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B |
Fanhua Technical Analysis
Fanhua's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fanhua Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fanhua Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fanhua Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fanhua Predictive Forecast Models
Fanhua's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fanhua's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fanhua's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fanhua Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fanhua for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fanhua Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fanhua Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fanhua Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Fanhua Inc may become a speculative penny stock |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Fanhua Stock
When determining whether Fanhua Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Fanhua Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Fanhua Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Fanhua Inc Stock:Check out Fanhua Backtesting, Fanhua Valuation, Fanhua Correlation, Fanhua Hype Analysis, Fanhua Volatility, Fanhua History as well as Fanhua Performance. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.