King Chou (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 40.69
| 4417 Stock | TWD 41.60 0.40 0.95% |
King |
King Chou Target Price Odds to finish below 40.69
The tendency of King Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 40.69 or more in 90 days |
| 41.60 | 90 days | 40.69 | about 81.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of King Chou to drop to NT$ 40.69 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.45 (This King Chou Marine probability density function shows the probability of King Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of King Chou Marine price to stay between NT$ 40.69 and its current price of NT$41.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon King Chou has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, King Chou average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding King Chou Marine will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally King Chou Marine has an alpha of 0.0499, implying that it can generate a 0.0499 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). King Chou Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for King Chou
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as King Chou Marine. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.King Chou Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. King Chou is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the King Chou's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold King Chou Marine, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of King Chou within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
King Chou Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of King Chou for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for King Chou Marine can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
King Chou Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of King Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential King Chou's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. King Chou's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 84 M |
King Chou Technical Analysis
King Chou's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. King Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of King Chou Marine. In general, you should focus on analyzing King Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
King Chou Predictive Forecast Models
King Chou's time-series forecasting models is one of many King Chou's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary King Chou's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about King Chou Marine
Checking the ongoing alerts about King Chou for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for King Chou Marine help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for King Stock Analysis
When running King Chou's price analysis, check to measure King Chou's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy King Chou is operating at the current time. Most of King Chou's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of King Chou's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move King Chou's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of King Chou to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.