Yung Zip (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 30.75

4102 Stock  TWD 30.50  0.35  1.16%   
Yung Zip's future price is the expected price of Yung Zip instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yung Zip Chemical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yung Zip Backtesting, Yung Zip Valuation, Yung Zip Correlation, Yung Zip Hype Analysis, Yung Zip Volatility, Yung Zip History as well as Yung Zip Performance.
  
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Yung Zip Target Price Odds to finish below 30.75

The tendency of Yung Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under NT$ 30.75  after 90 days
 30.50 90 days 30.75 
about 13.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yung Zip to stay under NT$ 30.75  after 90 days from now is about 13.96 (This Yung Zip Chemical probability density function shows the probability of Yung Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yung Zip Chemical price to stay between its current price of NT$ 30.50  and NT$ 30.75  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yung Zip has a beta of 0.14. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Yung Zip average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yung Zip Chemical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yung Zip Chemical has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Yung Zip Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yung Zip

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yung Zip Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.6330.1531.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.6329.1530.67
Details

Yung Zip Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yung Zip is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yung Zip's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yung Zip Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yung Zip within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
3.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Yung Zip Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yung Zip for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yung Zip Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yung Zip Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Yung Zip Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yung Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yung Zip's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yung Zip's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding42.4 M

Yung Zip Technical Analysis

Yung Zip's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yung Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yung Zip Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yung Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yung Zip Predictive Forecast Models

Yung Zip's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yung Zip's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yung Zip's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yung Zip Chemical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yung Zip for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yung Zip Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yung Zip Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Yung Stock Analysis

When running Yung Zip's price analysis, check to measure Yung Zip's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yung Zip is operating at the current time. Most of Yung Zip's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yung Zip's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yung Zip's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yung Zip to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.