GLADSTONE LAND (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.1

3L4 Stock  EUR 9.95  0.06  0.60%   
GLADSTONE LAND's future price is the expected price of GLADSTONE LAND instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GLADSTONE LAND L 001 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GLADSTONE LAND Backtesting, GLADSTONE LAND Valuation, GLADSTONE LAND Correlation, GLADSTONE LAND Hype Analysis, GLADSTONE LAND Volatility, GLADSTONE LAND History as well as GLADSTONE LAND Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in GLADSTONE Stock please use our How to Invest in GLADSTONE LAND guide.
  
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GLADSTONE LAND Target Price Odds to finish below 12.1

The tendency of GLADSTONE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 12.10  after 90 days
 9.95 90 days 12.10 
about 77.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GLADSTONE LAND to stay under € 12.10  after 90 days from now is about 77.4 (This GLADSTONE LAND L 001 probability density function shows the probability of GLADSTONE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GLADSTONE LAND L price to stay between its current price of € 9.95  and € 12.10  at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GLADSTONE LAND L 001 has a beta of -0.11. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GLADSTONE LAND are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GLADSTONE LAND L 001 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GLADSTONE LAND L 001 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   GLADSTONE LAND Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GLADSTONE LAND

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GLADSTONE LAND L. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.469.9511.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.388.8710.36
Details

GLADSTONE LAND Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GLADSTONE LAND is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GLADSTONE LAND's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GLADSTONE LAND L 001, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GLADSTONE LAND within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

GLADSTONE LAND Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GLADSTONE LAND for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GLADSTONE LAND L can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GLADSTONE LAND L generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GLADSTONE LAND L has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 87.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 66.39 M.

GLADSTONE LAND Technical Analysis

GLADSTONE LAND's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GLADSTONE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GLADSTONE LAND L 001. In general, you should focus on analyzing GLADSTONE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GLADSTONE LAND Predictive Forecast Models

GLADSTONE LAND's time-series forecasting models is one of many GLADSTONE LAND's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GLADSTONE LAND's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GLADSTONE LAND L

Checking the ongoing alerts about GLADSTONE LAND for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GLADSTONE LAND L help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GLADSTONE LAND L generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GLADSTONE LAND L has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 87.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 66.39 M.

Other Information on Investing in GLADSTONE Stock

GLADSTONE LAND financial ratios help investors to determine whether GLADSTONE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GLADSTONE with respect to the benefits of owning GLADSTONE LAND security.