AYR WELLNESS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.48
| 3KJB Stock | EUR 0.38 0.04 9.52% |
AYR |
AYR WELLNESS Target Price Odds to finish over 11.48
The tendency of AYR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 11.48 or more in 90 days |
| 0.38 | 90 days | 11.48 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AYR WELLNESS to move over € 11.48 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This AYR WELLNESS INCRESVTG probability density function shows the probability of AYR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AYR WELLNESS INCRESVTG price to stay between its current price of € 0.38 and € 11.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AYR WELLNESS has a beta of 0.42. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AYR WELLNESS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AYR WELLNESS INCRESVTG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AYR WELLNESS INCRESVTG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AYR WELLNESS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AYR WELLNESS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AYR WELLNESS INCRESVTG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AYR WELLNESS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AYR WELLNESS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AYR WELLNESS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AYR WELLNESS INCRESVTG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AYR WELLNESS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
AYR WELLNESS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AYR WELLNESS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AYR WELLNESS INCRESVTG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AYR WELLNESS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AYR WELLNESS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AYR WELLNESS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AYR WELLNESS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 452.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (178.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 181.96 M. |
AYR WELLNESS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AYR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AYR WELLNESS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AYR WELLNESS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 57 M |
AYR WELLNESS Technical Analysis
AYR WELLNESS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AYR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AYR WELLNESS INCRESVTG. In general, you should focus on analyzing AYR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AYR WELLNESS Predictive Forecast Models
AYR WELLNESS's time-series forecasting models is one of many AYR WELLNESS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AYR WELLNESS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AYR WELLNESS INCRESVTG
Checking the ongoing alerts about AYR WELLNESS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AYR WELLNESS INCRESVTG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AYR WELLNESS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AYR WELLNESS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AYR WELLNESS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AYR WELLNESS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 452.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (178.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 181.96 M. |
Other Information on Investing in AYR Stock
AYR WELLNESS financial ratios help investors to determine whether AYR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AYR with respect to the benefits of owning AYR WELLNESS security.