REXFORD INDREALTY (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38.58

3I0 Stock  EUR 36.80  0.60  1.66%   
REXFORD INDREALTY's future price is the expected price of REXFORD INDREALTY instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of REXFORD INDREALTY DL 01 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out REXFORD INDREALTY Backtesting, REXFORD INDREALTY Valuation, REXFORD INDREALTY Correlation, REXFORD INDREALTY Hype Analysis, REXFORD INDREALTY Volatility, REXFORD INDREALTY History as well as REXFORD INDREALTY Performance.
  
Please specify REXFORD INDREALTY's target price for which you would like REXFORD INDREALTY odds to be computed.

REXFORD INDREALTY Target Price Odds to finish over 38.58

The tendency of REXFORD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 38.58  or more in 90 days
 36.80 90 days 38.58 
about 80.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of REXFORD INDREALTY to move over € 38.58  or more in 90 days from now is about 80.36 (This REXFORD INDREALTY DL 01 probability density function shows the probability of REXFORD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of REXFORD INDREALTY price to stay between its current price of € 36.80  and € 38.58  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.32 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon REXFORD INDREALTY DL 01 has a beta of -0.0385. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding REXFORD INDREALTY are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, REXFORD INDREALTY DL 01 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally REXFORD INDREALTY DL 01 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   REXFORD INDREALTY Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for REXFORD INDREALTY

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as REXFORD INDREALTY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.9736.8038.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.1238.7540.58
Details

REXFORD INDREALTY Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. REXFORD INDREALTY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the REXFORD INDREALTY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold REXFORD INDREALTY DL 01, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of REXFORD INDREALTY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
2.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

REXFORD INDREALTY Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of REXFORD INDREALTY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for REXFORD INDREALTY can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
REXFORD INDREALTY generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

REXFORD INDREALTY Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of REXFORD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential REXFORD INDREALTY's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. REXFORD INDREALTY's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0201
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.16
Shares Float366.1 M

REXFORD INDREALTY Technical Analysis

REXFORD INDREALTY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. REXFORD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of REXFORD INDREALTY DL 01. In general, you should focus on analyzing REXFORD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

REXFORD INDREALTY Predictive Forecast Models

REXFORD INDREALTY's time-series forecasting models is one of many REXFORD INDREALTY's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary REXFORD INDREALTY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about REXFORD INDREALTY

Checking the ongoing alerts about REXFORD INDREALTY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for REXFORD INDREALTY help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
REXFORD INDREALTY generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Other Information on Investing in REXFORD Stock

REXFORD INDREALTY financial ratios help investors to determine whether REXFORD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in REXFORD with respect to the benefits of owning REXFORD INDREALTY security.