G8 EDUCATION (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.54

3EAG Stock  EUR 0.82  0.01  1.23%   
G8 EDUCATION's future price is the expected price of G8 EDUCATION instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of G8 EDUCATION performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out G8 EDUCATION Backtesting, G8 EDUCATION Valuation, G8 EDUCATION Correlation, G8 EDUCATION Hype Analysis, G8 EDUCATION Volatility, G8 EDUCATION History as well as G8 EDUCATION Performance.
  
Please specify G8 EDUCATION's target price for which you would like G8 EDUCATION odds to be computed.

G8 EDUCATION Target Price Odds to finish below 0.54

The tendency of 3EAG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.54  or more in 90 days
 0.82 90 days 0.54 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of G8 EDUCATION to drop to € 0.54  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This G8 EDUCATION probability density function shows the probability of 3EAG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of G8 EDUCATION price to stay between € 0.54  and its current price of €0.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon G8 EDUCATION has a beta of 0.0304. This suggests as returns on the market go up, G8 EDUCATION average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding G8 EDUCATION will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally G8 EDUCATION has an alpha of 0.1348, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   G8 EDUCATION Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for G8 EDUCATION

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as G8 EDUCATION. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.822.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.812.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.812.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.780.810.83
Details

G8 EDUCATION Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. G8 EDUCATION is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the G8 EDUCATION's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold G8 EDUCATION, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of G8 EDUCATION within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

G8 EDUCATION Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of G8 EDUCATION for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for G8 EDUCATION can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
G8 EDUCATION has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

G8 EDUCATION Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 3EAG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential G8 EDUCATION's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. G8 EDUCATION's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding813.8 M
Dividend Yield0.1037

G8 EDUCATION Technical Analysis

G8 EDUCATION's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 3EAG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of G8 EDUCATION. In general, you should focus on analyzing 3EAG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

G8 EDUCATION Predictive Forecast Models

G8 EDUCATION's time-series forecasting models is one of many G8 EDUCATION's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary G8 EDUCATION's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about G8 EDUCATION

Checking the ongoing alerts about G8 EDUCATION for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for G8 EDUCATION help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
G8 EDUCATION has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in 3EAG Stock

G8 EDUCATION financial ratios help investors to determine whether 3EAG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 3EAG with respect to the benefits of owning G8 EDUCATION security.