FocalTech Systems (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 74.66
| 3545 Stock | TWD 90.10 1.20 1.35% |
FocalTech |
FocalTech Systems Target Price Odds to finish below 74.66
The tendency of FocalTech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 74.66 or more in 90 days |
| 90.10 | 90 days | 74.66 | roughly 2.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FocalTech Systems to drop to NT$ 74.66 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.49 (This FocalTech Systems Co probability density function shows the probability of FocalTech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FocalTech Systems price to stay between NT$ 74.66 and its current price of NT$90.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FocalTech Systems has a beta of 0.73. This suggests as returns on the market go up, FocalTech Systems average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FocalTech Systems Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FocalTech Systems Co has an alpha of 0.0704, implying that it can generate a 0.0704 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FocalTech Systems Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FocalTech Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FocalTech Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FocalTech Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FocalTech Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FocalTech Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FocalTech Systems Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FocalTech Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
FocalTech Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FocalTech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FocalTech Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FocalTech Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 216.5 M |
FocalTech Systems Technical Analysis
FocalTech Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FocalTech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FocalTech Systems Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing FocalTech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FocalTech Systems Predictive Forecast Models
FocalTech Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many FocalTech Systems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FocalTech Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards FocalTech Systems in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, FocalTech Systems' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from FocalTech Systems options trading.
Additional Tools for FocalTech Stock Analysis
When running FocalTech Systems' price analysis, check to measure FocalTech Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FocalTech Systems is operating at the current time. Most of FocalTech Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FocalTech Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FocalTech Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FocalTech Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.