Episil Precision (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 45.25
| 3016 Stock | TWD 45.25 0.60 1.31% |
Episil |
Episil Precision Target Price Odds to finish over 45.25
The tendency of Episil Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 45.25 | 90 days | 45.25 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Episil Precision to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Episil Precision probability density function shows the probability of Episil Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Episil Precision has a beta of 0.55. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Episil Precision average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Episil Precision will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Episil Precision has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Episil Precision Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Episil Precision
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Episil Precision. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Episil Precision Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Episil Precision is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Episil Precision's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Episil Precision, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Episil Precision within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Episil Precision Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Episil Precision for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Episil Precision can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Episil Precision generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Episil Precision Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Episil Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Episil Precision's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Episil Precision's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 282.3 M |
Episil Precision Technical Analysis
Episil Precision's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Episil Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Episil Precision. In general, you should focus on analyzing Episil Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Episil Precision Predictive Forecast Models
Episil Precision's time-series forecasting models is one of many Episil Precision's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Episil Precision's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Episil Precision
Checking the ongoing alerts about Episil Precision for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Episil Precision help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Episil Precision generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Episil Stock Analysis
When running Episil Precision's price analysis, check to measure Episil Precision's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Episil Precision is operating at the current time. Most of Episil Precision's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Episil Precision's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Episil Precision's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Episil Precision to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.