Ziel Home (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.72
| 301376 Stock | 19.98 0.26 1.32% |
Ziel |
Ziel Home Target Price Odds to finish below 19.72
The tendency of Ziel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 19.72 or more in 90 days |
| 19.98 | 90 days | 19.72 | about 52.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ziel Home to drop to 19.72 or more in 90 days from now is about 52.54 (This Ziel Home Furnishing probability density function shows the probability of Ziel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ziel Home Furnishing price to stay between 19.72 and its current price of 19.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ziel Home has a beta of 0.41. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ziel Home average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ziel Home Furnishing will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ziel Home Furnishing has an alpha of 0.2953, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ziel Home Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ziel Home
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ziel Home Furnishing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ziel Home Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ziel Home is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ziel Home's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ziel Home Furnishing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ziel Home within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Ziel Home Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ziel Home for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ziel Home Furnishing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ziel Home Furnishing had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co., Ltd.s Low PE - Simply Wall St |
Ziel Home Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ziel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ziel Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ziel Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0251 |
Ziel Home Technical Analysis
Ziel Home's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ziel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ziel Home Furnishing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ziel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ziel Home Predictive Forecast Models
Ziel Home's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ziel Home's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ziel Home's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ziel Home Furnishing
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ziel Home for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ziel Home Furnishing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ziel Home Furnishing had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co., Ltd.s Low PE - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Ziel Stock
Ziel Home financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ziel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ziel with respect to the benefits of owning Ziel Home security.