VAIV (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4275.0

301300 Stock  KRW 3,960  5.00  0.13%   
VAIV's future price is the expected price of VAIV instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VAIV Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VAIV Backtesting, VAIV Valuation, VAIV Correlation, VAIV Hype Analysis, VAIV Volatility, VAIV History as well as VAIV Performance.
  
Please specify VAIV's target price for which you would like VAIV odds to be computed.

VAIV Target Price Odds to finish below 4275.0

The tendency of VAIV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 4,275  after 90 days
 3,960 90 days 4,275 
about 53.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VAIV to stay under W 4,275  after 90 days from now is about 53.07 (This VAIV Co probability density function shows the probability of VAIV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VAIV price to stay between its current price of W 3,960  and W 4,275  at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VAIV has a beta of 0.4. This suggests as returns on the market go up, VAIV average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VAIV Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VAIV Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   VAIV Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VAIV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VAIV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,9613,9653,969
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,5793,5824,362
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,2864,2894,293
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,6463,9594,272
Details

VAIV Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VAIV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VAIV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VAIV Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VAIV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
365.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

VAIV Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VAIV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VAIV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VAIV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
VAIV has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 44.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.5 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.52 B.
VAIV Co has accumulated about 9.23 B in cash with (10.25 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

VAIV Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VAIV Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VAIV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VAIV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments38.4 B
Shares Float2.6 M

VAIV Technical Analysis

VAIV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VAIV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VAIV Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing VAIV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VAIV Predictive Forecast Models

VAIV's time-series forecasting models is one of many VAIV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VAIV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VAIV

Checking the ongoing alerts about VAIV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VAIV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VAIV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
VAIV has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 44.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.5 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.52 B.
VAIV Co has accumulated about 9.23 B in cash with (10.25 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in VAIV Stock

VAIV financial ratios help investors to determine whether VAIV Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VAIV with respect to the benefits of owning VAIV security.