Huaxia Eye (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.67

301267 Stock   20.27  0.17  0.83%   
Huaxia Eye's future price is the expected price of Huaxia Eye instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Huaxia Eye Hospital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Huaxia Eye Backtesting, Huaxia Eye Valuation, Huaxia Eye Correlation, Huaxia Eye Hype Analysis, Huaxia Eye Volatility, Huaxia Eye History as well as Huaxia Eye Performance.
  
Please specify Huaxia Eye's target price for which you would like Huaxia Eye odds to be computed.

Huaxia Eye Target Price Odds to finish over 28.67

The tendency of Huaxia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  28.67  or more in 90 days
 20.27 90 days 28.67 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Huaxia Eye to move over  28.67  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Huaxia Eye Hospital probability density function shows the probability of Huaxia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Huaxia Eye Hospital price to stay between its current price of  20.27  and  28.67  at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Huaxia Eye has a beta of 0.34. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Huaxia Eye average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Huaxia Eye Hospital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Huaxia Eye Hospital has an alpha of 0.4345, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Huaxia Eye Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Huaxia Eye

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huaxia Eye Hospital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.3621.3526.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.7221.7126.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.9520.9525.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.4721.5828.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Huaxia Eye. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Huaxia Eye's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Huaxia Eye's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Huaxia Eye Hospital.

Huaxia Eye Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Huaxia Eye is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Huaxia Eye's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Huaxia Eye Hospital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Huaxia Eye within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
2.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Huaxia Eye Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Huaxia Eye for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Huaxia Eye Hospital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Huaxia Eye Hospital had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Huaxia Eye Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Huaxia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Huaxia Eye's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Huaxia Eye's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0045

Huaxia Eye Technical Analysis

Huaxia Eye's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Huaxia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Huaxia Eye Hospital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Huaxia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Huaxia Eye Predictive Forecast Models

Huaxia Eye's time-series forecasting models is one of many Huaxia Eye's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Huaxia Eye's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Huaxia Eye Hospital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Huaxia Eye for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Huaxia Eye Hospital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Huaxia Eye Hospital had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Huaxia Stock

Huaxia Eye financial ratios help investors to determine whether Huaxia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Huaxia with respect to the benefits of owning Huaxia Eye security.