Xiamen Jiarong (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.04
| 301148 Stock | 17.62 0.38 2.20% |
Xiamen |
Xiamen Jiarong Target Price Odds to finish below 17.04
The tendency of Xiamen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 17.04 or more in 90 days |
| 17.62 | 90 days | 17.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xiamen Jiarong to drop to 17.04 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Xiamen Jiarong Technology probability density function shows the probability of Xiamen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xiamen Jiarong Technology price to stay between 17.04 and its current price of 17.62 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Xiamen Jiarong has a beta of 0.17. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Xiamen Jiarong average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Xiamen Jiarong Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Xiamen Jiarong Technology has an alpha of 0.0984, implying that it can generate a 0.0984 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Xiamen Jiarong Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xiamen Jiarong
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xiamen Jiarong Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xiamen Jiarong Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xiamen Jiarong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xiamen Jiarong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xiamen Jiarong Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xiamen Jiarong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Xiamen Jiarong Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xiamen Jiarong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xiamen Jiarong Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Xiamen Jiarong generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Xiamen Jiarong is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Xiamen Jiarong Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xiamen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xiamen Jiarong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xiamen Jiarong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 116.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 47.8 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.39 | |
| Shares Float | 32.4 M |
Xiamen Jiarong Technical Analysis
Xiamen Jiarong's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xiamen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xiamen Jiarong Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xiamen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xiamen Jiarong Predictive Forecast Models
Xiamen Jiarong's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xiamen Jiarong's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xiamen Jiarong's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xiamen Jiarong Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xiamen Jiarong for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xiamen Jiarong Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Xiamen Jiarong generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Xiamen Jiarong is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Xiamen Stock
Xiamen Jiarong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xiamen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xiamen with respect to the benefits of owning Xiamen Jiarong security.